Monday, April 30, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 196.28 Units

Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Wonder-kid Rich Hill VS. Not-so-wonder-kid Zach Duke... Pittsburgh has been playing some good ball, but I still like this bet, simply based on talent and the pitching match up.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

More a gut feeling than anything, I just get the feeling this will be a low scoring game. I was thinking about skipping this game because I am down a few units; but you can't bet with fear.

San Diego Padres -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units

After the way the Padres robbed Peavy of a win in his last outing, they'd better come out swinging against John Patterson and the frigging Nationals. Peavy and I both need this.

Arizona Diamondbacks over Los Angeles Dodgers MONEYLINE
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units

Brandon Webb alone makes this a very good bet. Factor in the fatigue that the Dodgers and their bullpen must have after their 17 inning game last night, and it makes this a GREAT bet. Unless Randy Wolf pitches a true gem tonight, this game should be all Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units

John Lackey against the Kansas City Royals line-up, and Odalis Perez against the well-rested and hot bats of the Anaheim Angels. I feel like I'm being given free money today... why does it always go wrong?

New Jersey Devils @ Ottawa Senators OVER 5 goals
Bet 1.25 Units to win 1 Unit

Always risky to take an over against Marty Brodeur, but the game is being played in Ottawa, where the tempo should be high and I get the feeling there will be goals aplenty.

Last day of the month, lets get back to even! Good luck!

Results: .80 Units Won (197.08 Units)

Sunday, April 29, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.78 Units

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.25 Units

Jamie Moyer has pitched well thus far this season, and the Phillies have the bats to muscle some run support for him out of Wes Obermueller.

Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Lowe over Wells I'll take any day of the week, even if the San Diego bats have been heating up a little bit of late.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Boston Red Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units

Chien-Ming Wang is better than Julian Tavares. The Yanks offense is better than the Red Sox offense. The game is at Yankee stadium. Even my cold streak can't lose me this one can it?

Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units

Despite the fact that betting on Santana hasn't boded well for me thus far this year, the point remains that he is the best pitcher in the game today, and Mike Maroth is very ordinary. Another pick I just don't see dropping.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Scott Kazmir should dominate this Oakland A's offense, and if he gets any run support whatsoever, this bet should hold up.

Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Rangers could very well win this game, but you know how I feel about being offered one of (if not the) best team in the league at better than even money without having to give up a goal and a half...

Good luck! I need it!

Results: 1.50 Units Lost (196.28 Units)

Saturday, April 28, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 202.83 Units

Milwaukee Brewers over Houston Astros MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Last time Dave Bush faced the Astros, he out-dueled Roy Oswalt. This time, he faces Chris Sampson. I like his chances.

San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 2 Units to win 2.40 Units

On top of the fact that the Giants have been playing well and are going against Arizona's worst starter in Edgar Gonzalez, they are sending Matt Cain to the mound; the best off-the-radar pitcher in baseball.

Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

The knuckleball has been dancing well for Wakefield to start the season, and Karstens is flat out terrible. The Yankees have to get out of their slump eventually, I'll just hope it isn't today.

Detroit Red Wings -1.5 over San Jose Sharks
Bet 2 Units to win 3.70 Units

I LOVE this play. You can't go into Detroit, shut the Red Wings out in Game 1 in their own stadium, and expect them not to roar back in game two. I still believe that the Sharks are the better team, but the Red Wings are too good at home and too proud of a team to drop both games in Detroit.

Good luck!

Results: 5.05 Units Lost (197.78 Units)

Friday, April 27, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 206.18 Units

Dallas Mavericks -4.5 over Golden State Warriors
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

I'm STILL not sold on the whole Golden State has Dallas's number thing. I'm really not. Granted, it isn't like it doesn't have any support; I just can't and won't pass on the best team in basketball, a tier above everyone but the Suns, at - only 4.5.

Florida Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 10 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

Anabel Sanchez VS. Freddy Garcia... not that either is superstar material, but 10 runs is a lot of runs. I don't expect both teams to score over 5, so as long as one team doesn't get too carried away, this should stay under.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros UNDER 8 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit

Chris Capuano VS. Roy Oswalt. Now there's a pitching duel! Neither team hits 4 runs in this one; under all the way.

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit

Jason Marquis VS. Anthony Reyes. Hmm. Despite the fact that Marquis is off to a great start this year, I'm still not sold. I just don't see this one being a defensive struggle... I've been wrong before, but I'll bet the bats here.

Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.03 Units to win 1 Unit

After a lackluster series against the Giants, the Dodgers will bounce back tonight against my disowned pick for breakout of the year candidate Clay Hensley.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units

If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Give me the best team in the East at home in the playoffs VS. a 6 seed and I'll make this bet 10 out of 10 times.

Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancouver Canucks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.50 Units

Same story here. I'd love to see Luongo stand on his head and steal this game, but give me the Ducks at home every time at these odds.

Good luck!

Results: 3.35 Units Lost (202.83 Units)

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Long Term Picks

I have two plays I can't pass up on at these odds.

New Jersey Devils win series over Ottawa Senators
Bet 2 Units to win 2.30 Units
Bet .5 Units to win 1.30 Units**

Heck, I hope I lose this bet, as I'd love to see the Senators and the Sabres clash in the Eastern Conference finals. But how the #2 seeded Devils (who as I've said are a team built for the playoffs) are UNDERDOGS in this series just baffles me. Are you one to turn down free money?

San Jose Sharks win series over Detroit Red Wings
Bet 2 Units to win 2.20 Units

The Sharks were my early pick to win the west, and they are my pick in 6 to win this series. So, I'd be a bit of a hypocrite if I didn't put a couple of units on them at this price, don't you think?

**After losing game 1, you can now bet the Devils at 1 Unit to win 2.60, so I'll tack on half a unit at that price.

Picks of the Day

Total: 207.53 Units

Phoenix Suns -4.0 over Los Angeles Lakers
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units

I'll bet this lightly, since I'll be the first to admit I know nothing about basketball. What I do know, however, is that the Suns are a much better team than the Lakers; and even factoring in the home crowd, I think only 4 points looks way too pretty to pass up on. Kobe is bound to steal a game in this series, but a team like the Suns at these odds, I'll take.

Detroit Pistons -2.0 over Orlando Magic
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units

Same story here. I know how huge home court advantage is, especially come playoff time, but I can't pass up on the Pistons, who are clearly the better team, at minus only a bucket. I'd put a full unit on it if I wasn't so sure I must be missing something...

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit

To be honest with you, my gut is telling me to stay away from this game. With my boy (well, one of my like 7 or 8 boys) Cole Hamels on the mound, I don't see the Nationals doing a damn thing. And even though Shawn Hill has pitched well this season, the Phillies offense is tough. It is too easy... it makes me uneasy. Funny how that works. Still, I'm not gonna pass up on this, gut or not.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Los Angeles Angels MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .90 Units

Alright, so I ignore my gut in the pick above, so I reward it with this pick here. After getting crushed on Wednesday, the Devil Ray bats strike back with a vengeance today. Just a hunch.

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Chris Young VS. Livan Hernandez is no Peavy VS. Webb, but it still should be enough to keep this quiet offenses quiet enough.

San Jose Sharks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40 Units

No question that Detroit is tough to beat at home; but the Sharks will have to do it eventually if they hope to win this series, as I believe they will do in 6. So, why not start here?

Good luck everyone!

RESULTS: 1.35 Units Lost (206.18 Units)

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 204.93 Units

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

John Patterson VS. Jon Leiber... this game just strikes me as a slugfest. Leiber might pitch well, but this still seems like a worthwhile play to me.

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

As much as I suck at these over/unders, I can't help but keep coming back for more. Peavy and Webb are two of the best arms in the game today, and their offenses aren't exactly of Yankees caliber. All I can envision is a pitchers duel, and the 3 - 1 final score stays.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units

I have no idea how this game will go, so I'm just betting on a hunch. I like Buffalo a lot in the series, and this is the home opener... why not put a unit on them to take care of business?

NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Buffalo/New York/Anaheim/Vancouver have to combine for less then 10 goals. It is a risky bet; especially considering how powerful the offenses are in the Buf/NYR series; but I think the Van/Ana series is going to be extremely low scoring (only 2 or 3 goals tonight), and so I'll take my chances that the Sabres and Rangers can slip under that bar.

Good luck!

RESULTS: 2.60 Units Won (207.53 Units)

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 206.46 Units

Houston Astros over Pittsburgh Pirates MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.03 Units

I never thought I'd see the day where the Pirates were favored over the Astros, but what are you going to do? Make money on it, of course. I'm pretty sure the Astros can win this game, and not having to worry about whether it is by 2 runs or not is great.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets OVER 8 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Aaron Cook VS. El Duque could end up being a pitchers duel, as both of these guys occasionally toss a great game, but asking each team to average 4 runs isn't that crazy against these two. Based on the Mets' bats alone, I'll take my chances on the over.

Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Milwaukee Brewers
Bet 2 Units to win 2.80 Units

Shhhh! Don't tell the bookies that made this line that Rich Hill (are you still saying who?) is one of the best young arms in baseball (0.41 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, just silly), and Jeff Suppan isn't Ben Sheets. Just go bet it before someone realizes what a mismatch this is!

Cincinnati Reds over St. Louis Cardinals MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.27 Units

I like Aaron Harang's chances to outduel Kip Wells, despite the fact that Wells is off to a great start this season. Still, these odds make this a worthwhile bet.

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 over Boston Red Sox
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.25 Units

Roy Halladay VS. Julian Tavarez. This game leaves a bad taste in my mouth, as last year I lost... well lets just say I wasn't using the unit system back then... a good amount of money on this exact matchup. Of course, it helped that Ortiz and Manny were both not playing. Alas, it didn't matter, Boston prevailed. Bad taste aside, THE DOC gets the job done tonight.

Lots of action today, good luck!

RESULTS: 1.53 Units Lost (204.93 Units)

Monday, April 23, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 205.46 Units

New York Mets -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units

John Maine has been lights out for the Mets this season... but that isn't even really the point here. Assuming Maine (who has been great) and Buchholz (who is mediocre) were evenly matched, I'd still say the Mets' bats would win this game by 2 runs. The fact that they aren't evenly matched makes this a very good play.

Dallas Stars over Vancouver Canucks MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

No disrespect meant to the Canucks, who had a damn solid season to win their division and earn the home ice they have tonight. And, no money back guarantee that Turco doesn't revert back to his old playoff self now that everything is on the line. But I had a great feeling about the Stars winning this series before it began, and I have an even better feeling about it now. Even on intense road ice, this is their series to lose; and I don't think they are going to. Wouldn't recommend too much more than a unit on any Game 7... but it'll be a unit well spent.

Good luck!

RESULTS: 1 Unit Won (206.46 Units)

Sunday, April 22, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 204.46 Units

Houston Astros -1.5 over Milwaukee Brewers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.20 Units

Two of my fantasy pitchers facing off in this one, so I'll be hoping for just a 2 - 0 game or so... but Roy Oswalt certainly has the edge on Dave Bush, and should win in this showdown.

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies UNDER 10 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Greg Maddux facing off against one of my favorite sleepers in Jason Hirsh. San Diego puts up 4 runs MAXIMUM... and I trust the ageless Maddux to keep the Rockies to 6 or less.

New Jersey Devils over Tampa Bay Lightning MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Great deal on this bet; despite the fact that this is in Tampa Bay, we are talking about the 2nd in the East New Jersey Devils, and we are talking about the greatest goalie of all time here. Well worth a play that the Devils finish this series up tonight in Tampa Bay.

Good luck!

RESULTS: 1 Unit Won (205.46 Units)