Total: 196.73 Units
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over St. Louis Cardinals
Bet 2 Units to win 3.10 Units
On top of the fact that Milwaukee has been hitting the ball like crazy, I love the Capuano over Reyes matchup, too. I just hope I'm not jumping on board this hot streak a game too late; fear of that, actually, is the only reason this isn't a 3 Unit play.
New York Mets -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units
Contrary to my usual system of going solely on pitching matchups, I just think that the Mets are due for an offensive explosion; and Anibel Sanchez happens to be the guy in the wrong place at the wrong time
Detroit Tigers -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.80 Units
The defending AL champs have been swinging some hot bats lately, and Robertson always gives his team a chance to win; something they should do against Trachsel and the Orioles.
New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units
Andy Pettitte is the only solid pitcher left for the Yankees, and when he's on the mound, you've gotta trust the lineup to get a few runs and try to salvage a win.
Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 4 Units to win 3.57 Units
For some reason, online sports books think Wandy Rodriguez is pitching. In fact, Roy Oswalt is pitching. Roy Oswalt happens to be 17 - 1 lifetime against the Reds, and a tad bit better of a pitcher than Wandy. This line should be much worse than -112... and I'm jumping all over it where it is. Bet it "action" so you still get that price when Wandy doesn't jog out there in the first.
Cincinnati Reds over Houston Astros MONEYLINE*
Bet 2.90 Units to win 4.60 Units
This is called "hedging a bet". I bet the Reds under the new line of +160 so that I covered the other bet and make a profit either way. If the Astros win, I win 0.67 Units; if the Reds win, I win 0.60 Units. Thats the kind of betting I could get used to.
*Added after line was fixed (10:13 AM)
Good luck!
Results: 3.42 Units Won (200.15 Units)
Wednesday, May 2, 2007
Tuesday, May 1, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 197.08 Units
New Jersey Nets over Toronto Raptors MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .85 Units
Granted, Toronto should win on their home court, but with the exception of one game, this series has been all Nets. At bet 1 to win 1.7, they are well worth putting a few cents on.
Golden State Warriors over Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE
Bet .25 Units to win 1.06 Units
Are the Warriors going to win this game? I'm 95% sure they won't. But honestly, they've earned (and Dallas has lost) my respect enough to make this worth a measly quarter of a unit; and a very nice return if they pull it off.
Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units
Ted Lilly has been lights out this season, and Tony Armas Jr. is the only arm on the Pirates that doesn't have the talent to steal a game. Unless, of course, I bet it.
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Atlanta Braves
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.5 Units
Cole Hamels VS. Mark Redman. Simply too good to be true. Atlanta's bats and Philly's bullpen could cause problems, but I'll certainly take my chances.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Braden Looper has made a believer out of me this season, and Ben Sheets is the man. Milwaukee is swinging a hot bat, but if Looper can pitch his usual 6 innings of 2 earned ball, I think Sheets can do the rest.
Colorado Rockies @ San Fransisco Giants OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Taylor Buchholz VS. Russ Ortiz? Batting practice, anyone? As usual, I'll be pulling for Russ Ortiz to give up 19 runs, so Tim Lincecum can get his frigging chance already...
Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Two powerful offenses, but with Burnett and Sabathia on the mound, I think they can be tamed.
New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units
Call me stubborn, but I just can't get it out of my system; the Yankees shouldn't be this bad. And for the first time in a while, a starting pitcher is going to give them a chance to win; and that pitcher is Phil Hughes. Yanks cruise in this one and get the kid his first win in the bigs.
Chicago White Sox over Seattle Mariners MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
Okay, I know the White Sox are off to a bad start, and I know Washburn's last start was excellent. Two very good reasons to take this messed up money line and make a unit on it.
Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Rangers got a great double OT goal to steal game 3; the Sabres don't let them head back to Buffalo with the series tied up, though.
Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancover Canucks
Bet .5 Units to win 1 Unit
Not super likely that the Ducks win by 2, but it is super likely that they win this game. So I'll take 2 to 1 odds on an empty netter.
NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Ducks/Canucks should be around 2 - 1, so the Rangers and Sabres just can't have a field day, and this bet should hold up.
Wow, a dozen plays? At the very least, today shouldn't be boring.
Results: .35 Units Lost (196.73 Units)
New Jersey Nets over Toronto Raptors MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .85 Units
Granted, Toronto should win on their home court, but with the exception of one game, this series has been all Nets. At bet 1 to win 1.7, they are well worth putting a few cents on.
Golden State Warriors over Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE
Bet .25 Units to win 1.06 Units
Are the Warriors going to win this game? I'm 95% sure they won't. But honestly, they've earned (and Dallas has lost) my respect enough to make this worth a measly quarter of a unit; and a very nice return if they pull it off.
Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units
Ted Lilly has been lights out this season, and Tony Armas Jr. is the only arm on the Pirates that doesn't have the talent to steal a game. Unless, of course, I bet it.
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Atlanta Braves
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.5 Units
Cole Hamels VS. Mark Redman. Simply too good to be true. Atlanta's bats and Philly's bullpen could cause problems, but I'll certainly take my chances.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Braden Looper has made a believer out of me this season, and Ben Sheets is the man. Milwaukee is swinging a hot bat, but if Looper can pitch his usual 6 innings of 2 earned ball, I think Sheets can do the rest.
Colorado Rockies @ San Fransisco Giants OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Taylor Buchholz VS. Russ Ortiz? Batting practice, anyone? As usual, I'll be pulling for Russ Ortiz to give up 19 runs, so Tim Lincecum can get his frigging chance already...
Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Two powerful offenses, but with Burnett and Sabathia on the mound, I think they can be tamed.
New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units
Call me stubborn, but I just can't get it out of my system; the Yankees shouldn't be this bad. And for the first time in a while, a starting pitcher is going to give them a chance to win; and that pitcher is Phil Hughes. Yanks cruise in this one and get the kid his first win in the bigs.
Chicago White Sox over Seattle Mariners MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
Okay, I know the White Sox are off to a bad start, and I know Washburn's last start was excellent. Two very good reasons to take this messed up money line and make a unit on it.
Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Rangers got a great double OT goal to steal game 3; the Sabres don't let them head back to Buffalo with the series tied up, though.
Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancover Canucks
Bet .5 Units to win 1 Unit
Not super likely that the Ducks win by 2, but it is super likely that they win this game. So I'll take 2 to 1 odds on an empty netter.
NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Ducks/Canucks should be around 2 - 1, so the Rangers and Sabres just can't have a field day, and this bet should hold up.
Wow, a dozen plays? At the very least, today shouldn't be boring.
Results: .35 Units Lost (196.73 Units)
Gambling Statistics: April 2007
Well, I started this blog in April, and here are my first month's gambling statistics.
Baseball
Overall Record: 23 - 28 - 1
Units Wagered: 66.92
Units Won/Lost: 1.47 Units Lost
Hockey
Overall Record: 12 - 15 - 1
Units Wagered: 31.85
Units Won/Lost: 3.80 Units Lost
Basketball
Overall Record: 1 - 2 - 0
Units Wagered: 2.20
Units Won/Lost: 1.15 Units Lost
Overall
Overall Record: 36 - 44 - 2
Units Wagered: 98.97
Units Won/Lost: 7.42 Units Lost
Baseball
Overall Record: 23 - 28 - 1
Units Wagered: 66.92
Units Won/Lost: 1.47 Units Lost
Hockey
Overall Record: 12 - 15 - 1
Units Wagered: 31.85
Units Won/Lost: 3.80 Units Lost
Basketball
Overall Record: 1 - 2 - 0
Units Wagered: 2.20
Units Won/Lost: 1.15 Units Lost
Overall
Overall Record: 36 - 44 - 2
Units Wagered: 98.97
Units Won/Lost: 7.42 Units Lost
Monday, April 30, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 196.28 Units
Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units
Wonder-kid Rich Hill VS. Not-so-wonder-kid Zach Duke... Pittsburgh has been playing some good ball, but I still like this bet, simply based on talent and the pitching match up.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
More a gut feeling than anything, I just get the feeling this will be a low scoring game. I was thinking about skipping this game because I am down a few units; but you can't bet with fear.
San Diego Padres -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units
After the way the Padres robbed Peavy of a win in his last outing, they'd better come out swinging against John Patterson and the frigging Nationals. Peavy and I both need this.
Arizona Diamondbacks over Los Angeles Dodgers MONEYLINE
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units
Brandon Webb alone makes this a very good bet. Factor in the fatigue that the Dodgers and their bullpen must have after their 17 inning game last night, and it makes this a GREAT bet. Unless Randy Wolf pitches a true gem tonight, this game should be all Diamondbacks.
Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units
John Lackey against the Kansas City Royals line-up, and Odalis Perez against the well-rested and hot bats of the Anaheim Angels. I feel like I'm being given free money today... why does it always go wrong?
New Jersey Devils @ Ottawa Senators OVER 5 goals
Bet 1.25 Units to win 1 Unit
Always risky to take an over against Marty Brodeur, but the game is being played in Ottawa, where the tempo should be high and I get the feeling there will be goals aplenty.
Last day of the month, lets get back to even! Good luck!
Results: .80 Units Won (197.08 Units)
Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units
Wonder-kid Rich Hill VS. Not-so-wonder-kid Zach Duke... Pittsburgh has been playing some good ball, but I still like this bet, simply based on talent and the pitching match up.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
More a gut feeling than anything, I just get the feeling this will be a low scoring game. I was thinking about skipping this game because I am down a few units; but you can't bet with fear.
San Diego Padres -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units
After the way the Padres robbed Peavy of a win in his last outing, they'd better come out swinging against John Patterson and the frigging Nationals. Peavy and I both need this.
Arizona Diamondbacks over Los Angeles Dodgers MONEYLINE
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units
Brandon Webb alone makes this a very good bet. Factor in the fatigue that the Dodgers and their bullpen must have after their 17 inning game last night, and it makes this a GREAT bet. Unless Randy Wolf pitches a true gem tonight, this game should be all Diamondbacks.
Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units
John Lackey against the Kansas City Royals line-up, and Odalis Perez against the well-rested and hot bats of the Anaheim Angels. I feel like I'm being given free money today... why does it always go wrong?
New Jersey Devils @ Ottawa Senators OVER 5 goals
Bet 1.25 Units to win 1 Unit
Always risky to take an over against Marty Brodeur, but the game is being played in Ottawa, where the tempo should be high and I get the feeling there will be goals aplenty.
Last day of the month, lets get back to even! Good luck!
Results: .80 Units Won (197.08 Units)
Sunday, April 29, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 197.78 Units
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.25 Units
Jamie Moyer has pitched well thus far this season, and the Phillies have the bats to muscle some run support for him out of Wes Obermueller.
Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Lowe over Wells I'll take any day of the week, even if the San Diego bats have been heating up a little bit of late.
New York Yankees -1.5 over Boston Red Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units
Chien-Ming Wang is better than Julian Tavares. The Yanks offense is better than the Red Sox offense. The game is at Yankee stadium. Even my cold streak can't lose me this one can it?
Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units
Despite the fact that betting on Santana hasn't boded well for me thus far this year, the point remains that he is the best pitcher in the game today, and Mike Maroth is very ordinary. Another pick I just don't see dropping.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units
Scott Kazmir should dominate this Oakland A's offense, and if he gets any run support whatsoever, this bet should hold up.
Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
Rangers could very well win this game, but you know how I feel about being offered one of (if not the) best team in the league at better than even money without having to give up a goal and a half...
Good luck! I need it!
Results: 1.50 Units Lost (196.28 Units)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.25 Units
Jamie Moyer has pitched well thus far this season, and the Phillies have the bats to muscle some run support for him out of Wes Obermueller.
Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Lowe over Wells I'll take any day of the week, even if the San Diego bats have been heating up a little bit of late.
New York Yankees -1.5 over Boston Red Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units
Chien-Ming Wang is better than Julian Tavares. The Yanks offense is better than the Red Sox offense. The game is at Yankee stadium. Even my cold streak can't lose me this one can it?
Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units
Despite the fact that betting on Santana hasn't boded well for me thus far this year, the point remains that he is the best pitcher in the game today, and Mike Maroth is very ordinary. Another pick I just don't see dropping.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units
Scott Kazmir should dominate this Oakland A's offense, and if he gets any run support whatsoever, this bet should hold up.
Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units
Rangers could very well win this game, but you know how I feel about being offered one of (if not the) best team in the league at better than even money without having to give up a goal and a half...
Good luck! I need it!
Results: 1.50 Units Lost (196.28 Units)
Saturday, April 28, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 202.83 Units
Milwaukee Brewers over Houston Astros MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Last time Dave Bush faced the Astros, he out-dueled Roy Oswalt. This time, he faces Chris Sampson. I like his chances.
San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 2 Units to win 2.40 Units
On top of the fact that the Giants have been playing well and are going against Arizona's worst starter in Edgar Gonzalez, they are sending Matt Cain to the mound; the best off-the-radar pitcher in baseball.
Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
The knuckleball has been dancing well for Wakefield to start the season, and Karstens is flat out terrible. The Yankees have to get out of their slump eventually, I'll just hope it isn't today.
Detroit Red Wings -1.5 over San Jose Sharks
Bet 2 Units to win 3.70 Units
I LOVE this play. You can't go into Detroit, shut the Red Wings out in Game 1 in their own stadium, and expect them not to roar back in game two. I still believe that the Sharks are the better team, but the Red Wings are too good at home and too proud of a team to drop both games in Detroit.
Good luck!
Results: 5.05 Units Lost (197.78 Units)
Milwaukee Brewers over Houston Astros MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Last time Dave Bush faced the Astros, he out-dueled Roy Oswalt. This time, he faces Chris Sampson. I like his chances.
San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 2 Units to win 2.40 Units
On top of the fact that the Giants have been playing well and are going against Arizona's worst starter in Edgar Gonzalez, they are sending Matt Cain to the mound; the best off-the-radar pitcher in baseball.
Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
The knuckleball has been dancing well for Wakefield to start the season, and Karstens is flat out terrible. The Yankees have to get out of their slump eventually, I'll just hope it isn't today.
Detroit Red Wings -1.5 over San Jose Sharks
Bet 2 Units to win 3.70 Units
I LOVE this play. You can't go into Detroit, shut the Red Wings out in Game 1 in their own stadium, and expect them not to roar back in game two. I still believe that the Sharks are the better team, but the Red Wings are too good at home and too proud of a team to drop both games in Detroit.
Good luck!
Results: 5.05 Units Lost (197.78 Units)
Friday, April 27, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 206.18 Units
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 over Golden State Warriors
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
I'm STILL not sold on the whole Golden State has Dallas's number thing. I'm really not. Granted, it isn't like it doesn't have any support; I just can't and won't pass on the best team in basketball, a tier above everyone but the Suns, at - only 4.5.
Florida Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 10 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Anabel Sanchez VS. Freddy Garcia... not that either is superstar material, but 10 runs is a lot of runs. I don't expect both teams to score over 5, so as long as one team doesn't get too carried away, this should stay under.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros UNDER 8 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Chris Capuano VS. Roy Oswalt. Now there's a pitching duel! Neither team hits 4 runs in this one; under all the way.
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Jason Marquis VS. Anthony Reyes. Hmm. Despite the fact that Marquis is off to a great start this year, I'm still not sold. I just don't see this one being a defensive struggle... I've been wrong before, but I'll bet the bats here.
Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.03 Units to win 1 Unit
After a lackluster series against the Giants, the Dodgers will bounce back tonight against my disowned pick for breakout of the year candidate Clay Hensley.
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Give me the best team in the East at home in the playoffs VS. a 6 seed and I'll make this bet 10 out of 10 times.
Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancouver Canucks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.50 Units
Same story here. I'd love to see Luongo stand on his head and steal this game, but give me the Ducks at home every time at these odds.
Good luck!
Results: 3.35 Units Lost (202.83 Units)
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 over Golden State Warriors
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
I'm STILL not sold on the whole Golden State has Dallas's number thing. I'm really not. Granted, it isn't like it doesn't have any support; I just can't and won't pass on the best team in basketball, a tier above everyone but the Suns, at - only 4.5.
Florida Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 10 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit
Anabel Sanchez VS. Freddy Garcia... not that either is superstar material, but 10 runs is a lot of runs. I don't expect both teams to score over 5, so as long as one team doesn't get too carried away, this should stay under.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros UNDER 8 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Chris Capuano VS. Roy Oswalt. Now there's a pitching duel! Neither team hits 4 runs in this one; under all the way.
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 runs
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
Jason Marquis VS. Anthony Reyes. Hmm. Despite the fact that Marquis is off to a great start this year, I'm still not sold. I just don't see this one being a defensive struggle... I've been wrong before, but I'll bet the bats here.
Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.03 Units to win 1 Unit
After a lackluster series against the Giants, the Dodgers will bounce back tonight against my disowned pick for breakout of the year candidate Clay Hensley.
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Give me the best team in the East at home in the playoffs VS. a 6 seed and I'll make this bet 10 out of 10 times.
Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancouver Canucks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.50 Units
Same story here. I'd love to see Luongo stand on his head and steal this game, but give me the Ducks at home every time at these odds.
Good luck!
Results: 3.35 Units Lost (202.83 Units)
Thursday, April 26, 2007
Long Term Picks
I have two plays I can't pass up on at these odds.
New Jersey Devils win series over Ottawa Senators
Bet 2 Units to win 2.30 Units
Bet .5 Units to win 1.30 Units**
Heck, I hope I lose this bet, as I'd love to see the Senators and the Sabres clash in the Eastern Conference finals. But how the #2 seeded Devils (who as I've said are a team built for the playoffs) are UNDERDOGS in this series just baffles me. Are you one to turn down free money?
San Jose Sharks win series over Detroit Red Wings
Bet 2 Units to win 2.20 Units
The Sharks were my early pick to win the west, and they are my pick in 6 to win this series. So, I'd be a bit of a hypocrite if I didn't put a couple of units on them at this price, don't you think?
**After losing game 1, you can now bet the Devils at 1 Unit to win 2.60, so I'll tack on half a unit at that price.
New Jersey Devils win series over Ottawa Senators
Bet 2 Units to win 2.30 Units
Bet .5 Units to win 1.30 Units**
Heck, I hope I lose this bet, as I'd love to see the Senators and the Sabres clash in the Eastern Conference finals. But how the #2 seeded Devils (who as I've said are a team built for the playoffs) are UNDERDOGS in this series just baffles me. Are you one to turn down free money?
San Jose Sharks win series over Detroit Red Wings
Bet 2 Units to win 2.20 Units
The Sharks were my early pick to win the west, and they are my pick in 6 to win this series. So, I'd be a bit of a hypocrite if I didn't put a couple of units on them at this price, don't you think?
**After losing game 1, you can now bet the Devils at 1 Unit to win 2.60, so I'll tack on half a unit at that price.
Picks of the Day
Total: 207.53 Units
Phoenix Suns -4.0 over Los Angeles Lakers
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units
I'll bet this lightly, since I'll be the first to admit I know nothing about basketball. What I do know, however, is that the Suns are a much better team than the Lakers; and even factoring in the home crowd, I think only 4 points looks way too pretty to pass up on. Kobe is bound to steal a game in this series, but a team like the Suns at these odds, I'll take.
Detroit Pistons -2.0 over Orlando Magic
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units
Same story here. I know how huge home court advantage is, especially come playoff time, but I can't pass up on the Pistons, who are clearly the better team, at minus only a bucket. I'd put a full unit on it if I wasn't so sure I must be missing something...
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
To be honest with you, my gut is telling me to stay away from this game. With my boy (well, one of my like 7 or 8 boys) Cole Hamels on the mound, I don't see the Nationals doing a damn thing. And even though Shawn Hill has pitched well this season, the Phillies offense is tough. It is too easy... it makes me uneasy. Funny how that works. Still, I'm not gonna pass up on this, gut or not.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Los Angeles Angels MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .90 Units
Alright, so I ignore my gut in the pick above, so I reward it with this pick here. After getting crushed on Wednesday, the Devil Ray bats strike back with a vengeance today. Just a hunch.
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Chris Young VS. Livan Hernandez is no Peavy VS. Webb, but it still should be enough to keep this quiet offenses quiet enough.
San Jose Sharks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40 Units
No question that Detroit is tough to beat at home; but the Sharks will have to do it eventually if they hope to win this series, as I believe they will do in 6. So, why not start here?
Good luck everyone!
RESULTS: 1.35 Units Lost (206.18 Units)
Phoenix Suns -4.0 over Los Angeles Lakers
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units
I'll bet this lightly, since I'll be the first to admit I know nothing about basketball. What I do know, however, is that the Suns are a much better team than the Lakers; and even factoring in the home crowd, I think only 4 points looks way too pretty to pass up on. Kobe is bound to steal a game in this series, but a team like the Suns at these odds, I'll take.
Detroit Pistons -2.0 over Orlando Magic
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units
Same story here. I know how huge home court advantage is, especially come playoff time, but I can't pass up on the Pistons, who are clearly the better team, at minus only a bucket. I'd put a full unit on it if I wasn't so sure I must be missing something...
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit
To be honest with you, my gut is telling me to stay away from this game. With my boy (well, one of my like 7 or 8 boys) Cole Hamels on the mound, I don't see the Nationals doing a damn thing. And even though Shawn Hill has pitched well this season, the Phillies offense is tough. It is too easy... it makes me uneasy. Funny how that works. Still, I'm not gonna pass up on this, gut or not.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Los Angeles Angels MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .90 Units
Alright, so I ignore my gut in the pick above, so I reward it with this pick here. After getting crushed on Wednesday, the Devil Ray bats strike back with a vengeance today. Just a hunch.
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
Chris Young VS. Livan Hernandez is no Peavy VS. Webb, but it still should be enough to keep this quiet offenses quiet enough.
San Jose Sharks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40 Units
No question that Detroit is tough to beat at home; but the Sharks will have to do it eventually if they hope to win this series, as I believe they will do in 6. So, why not start here?
Good luck everyone!
RESULTS: 1.35 Units Lost (206.18 Units)
Wednesday, April 25, 2007
Picks of the Day
Total: 204.93 Units
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
John Patterson VS. Jon Leiber... this game just strikes me as a slugfest. Leiber might pitch well, but this still seems like a worthwhile play to me.
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
As much as I suck at these over/unders, I can't help but keep coming back for more. Peavy and Webb are two of the best arms in the game today, and their offenses aren't exactly of Yankees caliber. All I can envision is a pitchers duel, and the 3 - 1 final score stays.
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units
I have no idea how this game will go, so I'm just betting on a hunch. I like Buffalo a lot in the series, and this is the home opener... why not put a unit on them to take care of business?
NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Buffalo/New York/Anaheim/Vancouver have to combine for less then 10 goals. It is a risky bet; especially considering how powerful the offenses are in the Buf/NYR series; but I think the Van/Ana series is going to be extremely low scoring (only 2 or 3 goals tonight), and so I'll take my chances that the Sabres and Rangers can slip under that bar.
Good luck!
RESULTS: 2.60 Units Won (207.53 Units)
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
John Patterson VS. Jon Leiber... this game just strikes me as a slugfest. Leiber might pitch well, but this still seems like a worthwhile play to me.
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit
As much as I suck at these over/unders, I can't help but keep coming back for more. Peavy and Webb are two of the best arms in the game today, and their offenses aren't exactly of Yankees caliber. All I can envision is a pitchers duel, and the 3 - 1 final score stays.
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units
I have no idea how this game will go, so I'm just betting on a hunch. I like Buffalo a lot in the series, and this is the home opener... why not put a unit on them to take care of business?
NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit
Buffalo/New York/Anaheim/Vancouver have to combine for less then 10 goals. It is a risky bet; especially considering how powerful the offenses are in the Buf/NYR series; but I think the Van/Ana series is going to be extremely low scoring (only 2 or 3 goals tonight), and so I'll take my chances that the Sabres and Rangers can slip under that bar.
Good luck!
RESULTS: 2.60 Units Won (207.53 Units)
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