Picks of the Day

Total: 190.43 Units

Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 2 Units to win 1.48 Units

18 - 1 against the Reds, and I can still get Oswalt at -135 straight up, huh? I'll take it. I'd put more on it, but since I'm down at the moment, I shouldn't.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1 Unit to win .87 Units

The Brewers really are the real deal... and I'll keep making money on them as long as they let me. Even when I went 1 for 8 the other day, guess who the 1 was? Capuano over Chico should be no sweat.

New York Mets over San Fransisco Giants MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

I'll be rooting against this one since I have Barry Zito on my fantasy team, but the fact of the matter is that the Mets have one of the best offenses in the NL, and the Giants... well, don't. Oliver Perez has pitched well enough this season to make this a great bargain at only -105.

Good luck!

(Wings beat Sharks, and I re-checked all of my bets this month to make the total units accurate)
Results: 1.30 Units Won (190.28 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 186.95 Units

Yesterday I got absolutely murdered, but today I bet without fear. Plenty of good plays; let the past be the past and make some picks

San Diego Padres -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet .5 Units to win .5 Units

Until the Padres actually win a game for Peavy, I can't bet them with any confidence. But this certainly is a game that the Padres should be able to handle.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 4 Units to win 3.48 Units

If the red-hot Brewers with Ben Sheets at the helm can't convincingly beat Tony Armas Jr, I will seriously consider retiring from picking sports games.

Cleveland Indians -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units

CC Sabathia heading off against bullpen guy Brian Burres. Yesterday proved that there is no such thing as sure things, but this one looks good.

Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Minnesota Twins
Bet 2 Units to win 1.74 Units

Curt Schilling facing Sidney Ponson... not to mention the Sox bats will be itching to hit after being dominated by Santana.

Good luck!

Results: 3.48 Units Won (190.43 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.10 Units

San Jose Sharks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Gotta stand by my Sharks in 6 pick, and in order for that to happen, its gotta be the Sharks in game 5. We'll see.

Philadelphia Phillies over San Fransisco Giants MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

I'll take the Phils to slug it out with just about anyone, and Leiber has been pitching well since his return to the starting roll, so I'll take the even money bet here.

For some reason, today just happens to have a ton of match-ups where the better team also happens to have the better pitcher going. Easy money? We'll see. But I'm betting all of these for that reason;

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Suppan over Duke.

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Hudson over Lowe

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Harang over Cook

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Chicago White Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2.70 Units

Lackey over Garland

*Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Okay, so the A's are the better team, but Kazmir over Kennedy

Toronto Blue Jays over Texas Rangers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units

THE DOC over Padilla

Good luck!

**2.5 Units lost on New Jersey Devils losing the series**

Results: 10.15 Units Lost (186.95 Units)

(This was one of the unluckiest days of my life, and I'm not just talking about picking games... so really no surprise at all that every single game (but one) that could go wrong for me did.)

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.60 Units

Florida Marlins -1.5 over San Diego Padres
Bet 1.55 to win 2.40 Units

I like this a lot, simply because the Padres can't hit, and the Marlins usually hit well for Dontrelle Willis. I'll just hope Maddux doesn't bring his A game tonight.

Colorado Rockies over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.18 Units

The Rockies aren't as strong with the bats as the Reds are, but they've got Jason Hirsh going against Matt Bellsie. I think they steal the win straight up in Cinci.

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9
Bet 1 Unit to win 0.87 Units

John Maine VS. Randy Johnson... If Johnson pitches like the good ol' days, and Maine pitches like he has been lately, this game should be about 1 - 0. But, I'll take 4 - 2.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units

I've been ice cold (haha, get it?) on hockey bets over the last week or so, so I can't help but think I'm due; as are the Sabres for an offensive explosion.

Good luck!

Results: .50 Units lost (197.10 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.15 Units

Dallas Mavericks -2.5 over Golden State Warriors
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units

I think Golden State has an excellent chance of winning this game. That said, the best team in the league with its back against the wall facing elimination at -2.5 over an 8 seed is still exactly that. I hope I'm wrong, but I think Dallas wins this one.

San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Philadelphia Phillies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.55 Units

San Fransisco can't keep letting super-ace Matt Cain's brilliant starts go to waste, can they?? I sure hope not.

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Two solid pitchers in Weaver and Meche, two offenses that aren't exactly explosive. I'm liking the under.

Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays UNDER 9 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Shields has pitched great for the Rays this year, and Ortiz has done the same for the Twins. Certainly an unlikely pitching duel, but one I'm willing to take a chance on.

Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancouver Canucks
Bet 1 unit to win 1.25 Units

This series is over. The Ducks avenge their only loss of the series back at home with a 2 or 3 goal victory.

Good luck!

Results: 2.55 Units Lost (197.60 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 196.73 Units

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over St. Louis Cardinals
Bet 2 Units to win 3.10 Units

On top of the fact that Milwaukee has been hitting the ball like crazy, I love the Capuano over Reyes matchup, too. I just hope I'm not jumping on board this hot streak a game too late; fear of that, actually, is the only reason this isn't a 3 Unit play.

New York Mets -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units

Contrary to my usual system of going solely on pitching matchups, I just think that the Mets are due for an offensive explosion; and Anibel Sanchez happens to be the guy in the wrong place at the wrong time

Detroit Tigers -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.80 Units

The defending AL champs have been swinging some hot bats lately, and Robertson always gives his team a chance to win; something they should do against Trachsel and the Orioles.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Andy Pettitte is the only solid pitcher left for the Yankees, and when he's on the mound, you've gotta trust the lineup to get a few runs and try to salvage a win.

Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 4 Units to win 3.57 Units

For some reason, online sports books think Wandy Rodriguez is pitching. In fact, Roy Oswalt is pitching. Roy Oswalt happens to be 17 - 1 lifetime against the Reds, and a tad bit better of a pitcher than Wandy. This line should be much worse than -112... and I'm jumping all over it where it is. Bet it "action" so you still get that price when Wandy doesn't jog out there in the first.

Cincinnati Reds over Houston Astros MONEYLINE*
Bet 2.90 Units to win 4.60 Units

This is called "hedging a bet". I bet the Reds under the new line of +160 so that I covered the other bet and make a profit either way. If the Astros win, I win 0.67 Units; if the Reds win, I win 0.60 Units. Thats the kind of betting I could get used to.

*Added after line was fixed (10:13 AM)

Good luck!

Results: 3.42 Units Won (200.15 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.08 Units

New Jersey Nets over Toronto Raptors MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .85 Units

Granted, Toronto should win on their home court, but with the exception of one game, this series has been all Nets. At bet 1 to win 1.7, they are well worth putting a few cents on.

Golden State Warriors over Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE
Bet .25 Units to win 1.06 Units

Are the Warriors going to win this game? I'm 95% sure they won't. But honestly, they've earned (and Dallas has lost) my respect enough to make this worth a measly quarter of a unit; and a very nice return if they pull it off.

Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Ted Lilly has been lights out this season, and Tony Armas Jr. is the only arm on the Pirates that doesn't have the talent to steal a game. Unless, of course, I bet it.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Atlanta Braves
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.5 Units

Cole Hamels VS. Mark Redman. Simply too good to be true. Atlanta's bats and Philly's bullpen could cause problems, but I'll certainly take my chances.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

Braden Looper has made a believer out of me this season, and Ben Sheets is the man. Milwaukee is swinging a hot bat, but if Looper can pitch his usual 6 innings of 2 earned ball, I think Sheets can do the rest.

Colorado Rockies @ San Fransisco Giants OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

Taylor Buchholz VS. Russ Ortiz? Batting practice, anyone? As usual, I'll be pulling for Russ Ortiz to give up 19 runs, so Tim Lincecum can get his frigging chance already...

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Two powerful offenses, but with Burnett and Sabathia on the mound, I think they can be tamed.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units

Call me stubborn, but I just can't get it out of my system; the Yankees shouldn't be this bad. And for the first time in a while, a starting pitcher is going to give them a chance to win; and that pitcher is Phil Hughes. Yanks cruise in this one and get the kid his first win in the bigs.

Chicago White Sox over Seattle Mariners MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Okay, I know the White Sox are off to a bad start, and I know Washburn's last start was excellent. Two very good reasons to take this messed up money line and make a unit on it.

Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Rangers got a great double OT goal to steal game 3; the Sabres don't let them head back to Buffalo with the series tied up, though.

Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancover Canucks
Bet .5 Units to win 1 Unit

Not super likely that the Ducks win by 2, but it is super likely that they win this game. So I'll take 2 to 1 odds on an empty netter.

NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit

Ducks/Canucks should be around 2 - 1, so the Rangers and Sabres just can't have a field day, and this bet should hold up.

Wow, a dozen plays? At the very least, today shouldn't be boring.

Results: .35 Units Lost (196.73 Units)

Gambling Statistics: April 2007

Well, I started this blog in April, and here are my first month's gambling statistics.

Baseball

Overall Record: 23 - 28 - 1
Units Wagered: 66.92
Units Won/Lost: 1.47 Units Lost

Hockey

Overall Record: 12 - 15 - 1
Units Wagered: 31.85
Units Won/Lost: 3.80 Units Lost

Basketball

Overall Record: 1 - 2 - 0
Units Wagered: 2.20
Units Won/Lost: 1.15 Units Lost

Overall

Overall Record: 36 - 44 - 2
Units Wagered: 98.97
Units Won/Lost: 7.42 Units Lost

Picks of the Day

Total: 196.28 Units

Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Wonder-kid Rich Hill VS. Not-so-wonder-kid Zach Duke... Pittsburgh has been playing some good ball, but I still like this bet, simply based on talent and the pitching match up.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

More a gut feeling than anything, I just get the feeling this will be a low scoring game. I was thinking about skipping this game because I am down a few units; but you can't bet with fear.

San Diego Padres -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units

After the way the Padres robbed Peavy of a win in his last outing, they'd better come out swinging against John Patterson and the frigging Nationals. Peavy and I both need this.

Arizona Diamondbacks over Los Angeles Dodgers MONEYLINE
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units

Brandon Webb alone makes this a very good bet. Factor in the fatigue that the Dodgers and their bullpen must have after their 17 inning game last night, and it makes this a GREAT bet. Unless Randy Wolf pitches a true gem tonight, this game should be all Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 2.20 Units to win 2 Units

John Lackey against the Kansas City Royals line-up, and Odalis Perez against the well-rested and hot bats of the Anaheim Angels. I feel like I'm being given free money today... why does it always go wrong?

New Jersey Devils @ Ottawa Senators OVER 5 goals
Bet 1.25 Units to win 1 Unit

Always risky to take an over against Marty Brodeur, but the game is being played in Ottawa, where the tempo should be high and I get the feeling there will be goals aplenty.

Last day of the month, lets get back to even! Good luck!

Results: .80 Units Won (197.08 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.78 Units

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.25 Units

Jamie Moyer has pitched well thus far this season, and the Phillies have the bats to muscle some run support for him out of Wes Obermueller.

Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Lowe over Wells I'll take any day of the week, even if the San Diego bats have been heating up a little bit of late.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Boston Red Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units

Chien-Ming Wang is better than Julian Tavares. The Yanks offense is better than the Red Sox offense. The game is at Yankee stadium. Even my cold streak can't lose me this one can it?

Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units

Despite the fact that betting on Santana hasn't boded well for me thus far this year, the point remains that he is the best pitcher in the game today, and Mike Maroth is very ordinary. Another pick I just don't see dropping.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Scott Kazmir should dominate this Oakland A's offense, and if he gets any run support whatsoever, this bet should hold up.

Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Rangers could very well win this game, but you know how I feel about being offered one of (if not the) best team in the league at better than even money without having to give up a goal and a half...

Good luck! I need it!

Results: 1.50 Units Lost (196.28 Units)