Thursday, May 24, 2007

DISCONTINUED

I'm going to take a break from this half of my blog. Not enough reader interest. Hopefully I'll get the chance to re-visit it at a later date.

Monday, May 21, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 198.36 Units

Anaheim Ducks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 76.5 Units to win 45 Units

No, that isn't a typo, it should not be 8.5 Units to win 5.0. If the Ducks are going to win this series, I am going to make good money on it. If they lose this game, I'll be betting even more on game 7. I would gladly lose all of my gambling money and retire from gambling for a while to see the Ducks lose this series.

Go Wings!

Results: 45 Units Won (WOW! 243.36 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 201.36 Units

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1 Unit to win .80 Units

I feel really uncomfortable betting for the Reds as they never seem to be able to hold a lead (let alone a 2 run one...) still, with Arroyo on the mound against a no name for the Nationals, I have to trust the Reds to win this one comfortably.

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Maybe I shouldn't blindly follow my fantasy pitchers, but when Brandon Webb squares off against Aaron Cook, I simply can not help myself.

Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.30 Units

Wakefield has pitched well this season, and the Red Sox are playing better ball in general. Gotta like them at this price moneyline.

Good luck!

Total: 3 Units Lost (198.36 Units)

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.62 Units

Taking the day off of baseball today... just have a bad feeling about it.

Anaheim Ducks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet .62 Units to win .74 Units

I think the Wings are going to win this game, and I hope the Wings win this game. That said? If you can get the best team in the NHL, straight up, at better than even odds, you take it.

Good luck!

Results: .74 Units Won (201.36 Units)

Saturday, May 19, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.07 Units

Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

I like Micah Owings, but the Pirates are swinging hot bats right now, and Tom Gorzelanny should be able to contain the D'Backs' offense,

St. Louis Cardinals @ Detroit Tigers OVER 9 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Reyes and Robertson aren't bad, but they aren't great either. I just have a feeling this will be a good day for hitters.

Baltimore Orioles -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Guthrie has pitched well for the Orioles, but that shouldn't even be the issue. Baltimore should be able to outhit Washington with Mike Bacsik on the mound.

Kansas City Royals -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40 Units

Gil Meche has been great this year, and the Buchholz has been anything but. Not to mention, the Royals have been playing good baseball. I'll take them at these odds.

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Definitely like Jered Weaver to outpitch Mark Hendrickson at home.

San Fransisco Giants @ Oakland Athletics UNDER 7 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

7 runs is awfully low, but with Haren and Cain on the mound, it should be. This one should be a pitcher's duel to the end.

Good luck!

Results: .55 Units Won (200.62 Units)

Friday, May 18, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.92 Units

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Toronto Blue Jays
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units

Philly has been hitting the ball well, and I don't see Dustin McGowan stopping them from doing so. They should be able to out-slug Toronto in this one.

New York Mets over New York Yankees MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

Oliver Perez may have his work cut out for him against this lineup, but I'll trust him and the Mets' bats to pull it off here.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Minnesota Twins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.20 Units

Gotta like Capuano over Bonser, especially in Milwaukee.

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros OVER 9 runs
Bet 1.05 Unit to win 1 Unit

Neither Tejada nor Albers are particularly great pitchers, there is a short porch, and the Astros should come out swinging after yesterdays frustrating loss.

Good luck!

Results: 2.15 Units Won (200.07 Units)

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 198.92 Units

Florida Marlins over Pittsburgh Pirates MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .93 Units

Even if the Marlins have been cold and have a disaster of a bullpen, nothing wakes up a cold bat like the chance to play against Tony Armas Jr. Any time you can bet against him at moneyline at almost even money, don't pass on it.

San Fransisco Giants @ Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

My favorite player in the league (Roy Oswalt) VS. the wonder-kid Tim Lincecum. I'd bet the under if it was 2.5 as much as I love these two.

PARLAY:
Detroit Red Wings over Anaheim Ducks MONEYLINE AND
Detroit Red Wings @ Anaheim Ducks OVER 4.5 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win 3.25 Units

With Pronger out, the Wings have a very good chance of winning this game. And, in my opinion, the only way they do that is by scoring 3 or 4 goals (exploiting the weakness on the Ducks' D). So, might as well parlay the two bets and make extra bank if it works out!

Good luck!

Results: 1 Unit Lost (197.92 Units)

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.68 Units

Utah Jazz -4.5 over Washington Wizards
Bet .70 Units to win .64 Units

If I lose this one I will likely retire from basketball betting (something I should have done a long time ago anyways), but this one seems pretty easy to me. Jazz have dominated this series through and through, and at home with the chance to eliminate, a 5 point victory strikes me as likely.

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units

Tim Hudson is back to his true ace self, and Jarome Williams and the Nationals aren't exactly a terrifying force. The Braves SHOULD cruise to an easy victory in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers over Philadelphia Phillies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .95 Units

I still think the Brewers are legit, and Claudio Vargas has pitched well this season. He should be able to out-duel Adam Eaton.

Florida Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win .95 Units

The Marlins' bats have been ice cold, and Sergio Mitre (of Florida) has pitched well enough this season to believe he can handle the Pirates. I see this being a pretty low scorer.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40

Lights-out James Shields faces off against... lights-in?... Brandon McCarthy. Tampa Bay will have to score some runs, but I think Shields will do his part.

Oakland Athletics -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

The A's pitching has been outstanding this year, and Joe Kennedy has been no exception. With Brian Bannister taking the mound for the Royals, this really shouldn't be too difficult for the A's.

Good Luck!

Results: 1.76 Units Lost (198.92 Units)

Monday, May 14, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.68 Units

None! Every game today looks to me like a dangerous bet. You are on your own today!

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 201.68 Units

Since my catastrophy of a day last Saturday, I've been on an insane hot streak, winning 6 of the last 7 days; and the day I lost was a tiny 0.32 Units. I wanted to take the day off today, but there are two games that look to be absolute sure things; so I'll just parlay them and hope for the best. Only one play today; I'd like to end the weekend AHEAD.

A parlay is when you bet two (or more) games together and they both (or all) MUST hit for you to be paid. 1 for 2 pays nothing. Hitting a parlay results in larger payouts than if you bet the games individually, since you run the risk of losing the entire bet if the parlay loses.

PARLAY:
Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles AND
New York Yankees -1.5 over Seattle Mariners
Bet 1 Unit to win 2.30 Units

Josh Beckett and Andy Pettitte face Jeremy Guthrie and Horacio Ramirez, respectively. Better pitcher playing for the better team often results in wins.

Good luck!

Results: 1 Unit Lost (200.68 Units)

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 199.63 Units

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets OVER 9 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Call this one a hunch. Pelfrey on the mound for the Mets should absolutely get rocked by one of the league's hottest teams. The question mark is Ben Sheets; will he lose me this over? My gut says no.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Chicago Cubs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.65 Units

I'm not super confident in the Phils or Freddy Garcia, but at this price, it is well worth the gamble that the Phillies outslug the Cubs.

Houston Astros -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units

As Webb made mincemeat out of Houston batters on Friday, I expect Oswalt to return the favor today.

San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Barry Zito and the hot Giants should be able to pull off a win in Colorado as Lincecum did for me on Friday.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over Ottawa Senators
Bet .75 Units to win 1.50 Units

Every game in this series could go either way, but with the home crowd and a little desperation on their side in game 2, I'll take the Sabres.

Good luck!

Results: 2.05 Units Won (201.68 Units)

Friday, May 11, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 199.95 Units

Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.30 Units

Having a lefty-heavy lineup like the Phillies do works great; until you face a dominant lefty like Rich Hill. Hamels hasn't been super sharp lately, but I think he can keep it respectable; and I don't think Rich Hill is giving up much more that 2 runs anyways.

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 over Houston Astros
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.30 Units

The Astros' bats are starting to heat up a bit, but Brandon Webb should be able to cool them down.

San Fransisco Giants over Colorado Rockies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .88 Units

Super-prospect Tim Lincecum gets the chance to go against a lineup that isn't full of big bruising lefties. I'll definitely put my money on him over Josh Fogg tonight.

San Diego Padres -1.5 over St. Louis Cardinals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Jake Peavy has been lights out all year, and while I never trust the Padres bats to get him support, he's still worth dropping a unit on in just about every game he pitches.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Toronto Blue Jays MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.17 Units

The Blue Jays have lost 9 straight and are clearly struggling. I don't think Scott Kazmir is the right guy to break a slump against. Toronto's bad luck continues in this one.

Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Johan Santana VS. Mike Maroth... Santana hasn't been lights out this year per usual, but I think he can muster up a win out of this matchup.

Good luck!

Results: 0.32 Units Lost (199.63 Units)

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 196 Units

Phoenix Suns +4.0 over San Antonio Spurs
Bet .70 Units to win .64 Units
(THIS GAME WASN'T PLAYED TODAY, I MISREAD SCHEDULE)

Why .70? Well, I'm 0 - 3 with basketball picks and have lost 1.30 units on it... why not make it an even 2 units? Truth be told, I really think Phoenix has a good chance of winning this game, and could certainly keep it close... but what do I know about hoops?

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over San Diego Padres
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units

Tim Hudson is back to ace form, and David Wells is... well.. fat. The Padres are a very easy lineup to mow through; Hudson's 8 innings of one earned ball should be more than enough for the Braves to get a few runs off of Wells and cover.

San Fransisco Giants over Colorado Rockies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.03 Units

I like Noah Lowry, and besides that, the Giants have been swinging some hot bats. Aaron Cook isn't bad, but at moneyline, I think the Giants are definitely the play here.

Detroit Tigers -1.5 over Seattle Mariners
Bet 4 Units to win 3.08 Units

One of those plays that you almost know you are going to lose on principal alone, but you absolutely have to bet heavy. Jeff Weaver; with all of his 0 - 5 record and 15.35 ERA; going against Justin Verlander, who's got a much more respectable 2 - 1 record and a 2.75 ERA. I respect the Mariners this season, but come on... this one's just too good to be true.

Buffalo Sabres over Ottawa Senators MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .71 Units

Should be a great series and should go 7 games, but I'll try and break out of my hockey slump by picking the home team and the favorite; moneyline for a change instead of begging for that elusive 2 goal victory.

Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres OVER 5.5 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win .87 Units

These playoffs have been all about defense... but put two offensive minded teams together and watch the fireworks fly. There should be scoring chances galore, and the final score should definitely be in the 4 - 3 range.

Good luck!

Results: 3.95 Units Won (199.95 Units)

Wednesday, May 9, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 191.08 Units

New York Mets -1.5 over San Fransisco Giants
Bet 2 Units to win 2.20 Units

The Mets have won every game they have played in which John Maine has pitched. Why stop now? The Giants already stole a game this series; lightning shouldn't strike twice.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Baltimore Orioles MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.20 Units

James Shields is having a great season, and the Orioles put up 8 on Tuesday, so I expect their bats to go quiet.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 2 Units to win 1.90 Units

Mike Mussina can pitch, and the Yankees can hit. Hard. So why not continue to make money on it?

Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Toronto Blue Jays
Bet 2 Units to win 1.82 Units

Daisuke Matsuzaka against Tomo Okha... doesn't exactly strike me as a pitcher's duel so much as a one-sided shalacking.

Good luck!

Results: 4.92 Units Won (196 Units)

Tuesday, May 8, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 190.28 Units

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.30 Units

Mark Hendrickson has somehow been fantastic this year for the Dodgers, and Wes Obermueller is a very beatable opponent. Gotta ride Mark out as long as he's pitching well.

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Taylor Buchholz faces Brad Thompson in this one... whats NOT to love about the over?

New York Mets @ San Fransisco Giants UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win .90 Units

So both of these teams can slug, but at the same time, both of these pitchers can pitch. After yesterday's offensive show, I say this game cools down and stays at 8 or under.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win .90 Units

Andy Pettitte and the Yankees offense VS. Mike Wood? I'll take my chances.

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Jorge De La Rosa and Chad Gaudin may be no names to the untrained eye, but they are both solid young pitchers off to solid starts this season. Neither offense blows you away, either, and this should definitely be an under - if the Royals' bullpen doesn't blow it in the later stages.

Good luck!

Results: .80 Units Won (191.08 Units)

Sunday, May 6, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 190.43 Units

Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 2 Units to win 1.48 Units

18 - 1 against the Reds, and I can still get Oswalt at -135 straight up, huh? I'll take it. I'd put more on it, but since I'm down at the moment, I shouldn't.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1 Unit to win .87 Units

The Brewers really are the real deal... and I'll keep making money on them as long as they let me. Even when I went 1 for 8 the other day, guess who the 1 was? Capuano over Chico should be no sweat.

New York Mets over San Fransisco Giants MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

I'll be rooting against this one since I have Barry Zito on my fantasy team, but the fact of the matter is that the Mets have one of the best offenses in the NL, and the Giants... well, don't. Oliver Perez has pitched well enough this season to make this a great bargain at only -105.

Good luck!

(Wings beat Sharks, and I re-checked all of my bets this month to make the total units accurate)
Results: 1.30 Units Won (190.28 Units)

Picks of the Day

Total: 186.95 Units

Yesterday I got absolutely murdered, but today I bet without fear. Plenty of good plays; let the past be the past and make some picks

San Diego Padres -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet .5 Units to win .5 Units

Until the Padres actually win a game for Peavy, I can't bet them with any confidence. But this certainly is a game that the Padres should be able to handle.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 4 Units to win 3.48 Units

If the red-hot Brewers with Ben Sheets at the helm can't convincingly beat Tony Armas Jr, I will seriously consider retiring from picking sports games.

Cleveland Indians -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units

CC Sabathia heading off against bullpen guy Brian Burres. Yesterday proved that there is no such thing as sure things, but this one looks good.

Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Minnesota Twins
Bet 2 Units to win 1.74 Units

Curt Schilling facing Sidney Ponson... not to mention the Sox bats will be itching to hit after being dominated by Santana.

Good luck!

Results: 3.48 Units Won (190.43 Units)

Saturday, May 5, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.10 Units

San Jose Sharks over Detroit Red Wings MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Gotta stand by my Sharks in 6 pick, and in order for that to happen, its gotta be the Sharks in game 5. We'll see.

Philadelphia Phillies over San Fransisco Giants MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

I'll take the Phils to slug it out with just about anyone, and Leiber has been pitching well since his return to the starting roll, so I'll take the even money bet here.

For some reason, today just happens to have a ton of match-ups where the better team also happens to have the better pitcher going. Easy money? We'll see. But I'm betting all of these for that reason;

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Suppan over Duke.

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Hudson over Lowe

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Harang over Cook

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 over Chicago White Sox
Bet 2 Units to win 2.70 Units

Lackey over Garland

*Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Oakland Athletics
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.45 Units

Okay, so the A's are the better team, but Kazmir over Kennedy

Toronto Blue Jays over Texas Rangers
Bet 2.10 Units to win 2 Units

THE DOC over Padilla

Good luck!

**2.5 Units lost on New Jersey Devils losing the series**

Results: 10.15 Units Lost (186.95 Units)

(This was one of the unluckiest days of my life, and I'm not just talking about picking games... so really no surprise at all that every single game (but one) that could go wrong for me did.)

Friday, May 4, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.60 Units

Florida Marlins -1.5 over San Diego Padres
Bet 1.55 to win 2.40 Units

I like this a lot, simply because the Padres can't hit, and the Marlins usually hit well for Dontrelle Willis. I'll just hope Maddux doesn't bring his A game tonight.

Colorado Rockies over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.18 Units

The Rockies aren't as strong with the bats as the Reds are, but they've got Jason Hirsh going against Matt Bellsie. I think they steal the win straight up in Cinci.

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9
Bet 1 Unit to win 0.87 Units

John Maine VS. Randy Johnson... If Johnson pitches like the good ol' days, and Maine pitches like he has been lately, this game should be about 1 - 0. But, I'll take 4 - 2.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over New York Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.60 Units

I've been ice cold (haha, get it?) on hockey bets over the last week or so, so I can't help but think I'm due; as are the Sabres for an offensive explosion.

Good luck!

Results: .50 Units lost (197.10 Units)

Thursday, May 3, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.15 Units

Dallas Mavericks -2.5 over Golden State Warriors
Bet .55 Units to win .50 Units

I think Golden State has an excellent chance of winning this game. That said, the best team in the league with its back against the wall facing elimination at -2.5 over an 8 seed is still exactly that. I hope I'm wrong, but I think Dallas wins this one.

San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Philadelphia Phillies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.55 Units

San Fransisco can't keep letting super-ace Matt Cain's brilliant starts go to waste, can they?? I sure hope not.

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Two solid pitchers in Weaver and Meche, two offenses that aren't exactly explosive. I'm liking the under.

Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Devil Rays UNDER 9 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Shields has pitched great for the Rays this year, and Ortiz has done the same for the Twins. Certainly an unlikely pitching duel, but one I'm willing to take a chance on.

Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancouver Canucks
Bet 1 unit to win 1.25 Units

This series is over. The Ducks avenge their only loss of the series back at home with a 2 or 3 goal victory.

Good luck!

Results: 2.55 Units Lost (197.60 Units)

Wednesday, May 2, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 196.73 Units

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over St. Louis Cardinals
Bet 2 Units to win 3.10 Units

On top of the fact that Milwaukee has been hitting the ball like crazy, I love the Capuano over Reyes matchup, too. I just hope I'm not jumping on board this hot streak a game too late; fear of that, actually, is the only reason this isn't a 3 Unit play.

New York Mets -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units

Contrary to my usual system of going solely on pitching matchups, I just think that the Mets are due for an offensive explosion; and Anibel Sanchez happens to be the guy in the wrong place at the wrong time

Detroit Tigers -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.80 Units

The defending AL champs have been swinging some hot bats lately, and Robertson always gives his team a chance to win; something they should do against Trachsel and the Orioles.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Andy Pettitte is the only solid pitcher left for the Yankees, and when he's on the mound, you've gotta trust the lineup to get a few runs and try to salvage a win.

Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 4 Units to win 3.57 Units

For some reason, online sports books think Wandy Rodriguez is pitching. In fact, Roy Oswalt is pitching. Roy Oswalt happens to be 17 - 1 lifetime against the Reds, and a tad bit better of a pitcher than Wandy. This line should be much worse than -112... and I'm jumping all over it where it is. Bet it "action" so you still get that price when Wandy doesn't jog out there in the first.

Cincinnati Reds over Houston Astros MONEYLINE*
Bet 2.90 Units to win 4.60 Units

This is called "hedging a bet". I bet the Reds under the new line of +160 so that I covered the other bet and make a profit either way. If the Astros win, I win 0.67 Units; if the Reds win, I win 0.60 Units. Thats the kind of betting I could get used to.

*Added after line was fixed (10:13 AM)

Good luck!

Results: 3.42 Units Won (200.15 Units)

Tuesday, May 1, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 197.08 Units

New Jersey Nets over Toronto Raptors MONEYLINE
Bet .5 Units to win .85 Units

Granted, Toronto should win on their home court, but with the exception of one game, this series has been all Nets. At bet 1 to win 1.7, they are well worth putting a few cents on.

Golden State Warriors over Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE
Bet .25 Units to win 1.06 Units

Are the Warriors going to win this game? I'm 95% sure they won't. But honestly, they've earned (and Dallas has lost) my respect enough to make this worth a measly quarter of a unit; and a very nice return if they pull it off.

Chicago Cubs -1.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.10 Units

Ted Lilly has been lights out this season, and Tony Armas Jr. is the only arm on the Pirates that doesn't have the talent to steal a game. Unless, of course, I bet it.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Atlanta Braves
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.5 Units

Cole Hamels VS. Mark Redman. Simply too good to be true. Atlanta's bats and Philly's bullpen could cause problems, but I'll certainly take my chances.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

Braden Looper has made a believer out of me this season, and Ben Sheets is the man. Milwaukee is swinging a hot bat, but if Looper can pitch his usual 6 innings of 2 earned ball, I think Sheets can do the rest.

Colorado Rockies @ San Fransisco Giants OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1.10 Units to win 1 Unit

Taylor Buchholz VS. Russ Ortiz? Batting practice, anyone? As usual, I'll be pulling for Russ Ortiz to give up 19 runs, so Tim Lincecum can get his frigging chance already...

Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Two powerful offenses, but with Burnett and Sabathia on the mound, I think they can be tamed.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.50 Units

Call me stubborn, but I just can't get it out of my system; the Yankees shouldn't be this bad. And for the first time in a while, a starting pitcher is going to give them a chance to win; and that pitcher is Phil Hughes. Yanks cruise in this one and get the kid his first win in the bigs.

Chicago White Sox over Seattle Mariners MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Okay, I know the White Sox are off to a bad start, and I know Washburn's last start was excellent. Two very good reasons to take this messed up money line and make a unit on it.

Buffalo Sabres over New York Rangers MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Rangers got a great double OT goal to steal game 3; the Sabres don't let them head back to Buffalo with the series tied up, though.

Anaheim Ducks -1.5 over Vancover Canucks
Bet .5 Units to win 1 Unit

Not super likely that the Ducks win by 2, but it is super likely that they win this game. So I'll take 2 to 1 odds on an empty netter.

NHL Total UNDER 10 goals
Bet 1.15 Units to win 1 Unit

Ducks/Canucks should be around 2 - 1, so the Rangers and Sabres just can't have a field day, and this bet should hold up.

Wow, a dozen plays? At the very least, today shouldn't be boring.

Results: .35 Units Lost (196.73 Units)

Gambling Statistics: April 2007

Well, I started this blog in April, and here are my first month's gambling statistics.

Baseball

Overall Record: 23 - 28 - 1
Units Wagered: 66.92
Units Won/Lost: 1.47 Units Lost

Hockey

Overall Record: 12 - 15 - 1
Units Wagered: 31.85
Units Won/Lost: 3.80 Units Lost

Basketball

Overall Record: 1 - 2 - 0
Units Wagered: 2.20
Units Won/Lost: 1.15 Units Lost

Overall

Overall Record: 36 - 44 - 2
Units Wagered: 98.97
Units Won/Lost: 7.42 Units Lost