Thursday, May 17, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 198.92 Units

Florida Marlins over Pittsburgh Pirates MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .93 Units

Even if the Marlins have been cold and have a disaster of a bullpen, nothing wakes up a cold bat like the chance to play against Tony Armas Jr. Any time you can bet against him at moneyline at almost even money, don't pass on it.

San Fransisco Giants @ Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

My favorite player in the league (Roy Oswalt) VS. the wonder-kid Tim Lincecum. I'd bet the under if it was 2.5 as much as I love these two.

PARLAY:
Detroit Red Wings over Anaheim Ducks MONEYLINE AND
Detroit Red Wings @ Anaheim Ducks OVER 4.5 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win 3.25 Units

With Pronger out, the Wings have a very good chance of winning this game. And, in my opinion, the only way they do that is by scoring 3 or 4 goals (exploiting the weakness on the Ducks' D). So, might as well parlay the two bets and make extra bank if it works out!

Good luck!

Results: 1 Unit Lost (197.92 Units)

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.68 Units

Utah Jazz -4.5 over Washington Wizards
Bet .70 Units to win .64 Units

If I lose this one I will likely retire from basketball betting (something I should have done a long time ago anyways), but this one seems pretty easy to me. Jazz have dominated this series through and through, and at home with the chance to eliminate, a 5 point victory strikes me as likely.

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 2 Units to win 1.60 Units

Tim Hudson is back to his true ace self, and Jarome Williams and the Nationals aren't exactly a terrifying force. The Braves SHOULD cruise to an easy victory in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers over Philadelphia Phillies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .95 Units

I still think the Brewers are legit, and Claudio Vargas has pitched well this season. He should be able to out-duel Adam Eaton.

Florida Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win .95 Units

The Marlins' bats have been ice cold, and Sergio Mitre (of Florida) has pitched well enough this season to believe he can handle the Pirates. I see this being a pretty low scorer.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.40

Lights-out James Shields faces off against... lights-in?... Brandon McCarthy. Tampa Bay will have to score some runs, but I think Shields will do his part.

Oakland Athletics -1.5 over Kansas City Royals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

The A's pitching has been outstanding this year, and Joe Kennedy has been no exception. With Brian Bannister taking the mound for the Royals, this really shouldn't be too difficult for the A's.

Good Luck!

Results: 1.76 Units Lost (198.92 Units)

Monday, May 14, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 200.68 Units

None! Every game today looks to me like a dangerous bet. You are on your own today!

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 201.68 Units

Since my catastrophy of a day last Saturday, I've been on an insane hot streak, winning 6 of the last 7 days; and the day I lost was a tiny 0.32 Units. I wanted to take the day off today, but there are two games that look to be absolute sure things; so I'll just parlay them and hope for the best. Only one play today; I'd like to end the weekend AHEAD.

A parlay is when you bet two (or more) games together and they both (or all) MUST hit for you to be paid. 1 for 2 pays nothing. Hitting a parlay results in larger payouts than if you bet the games individually, since you run the risk of losing the entire bet if the parlay loses.

PARLAY:
Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles AND
New York Yankees -1.5 over Seattle Mariners
Bet 1 Unit to win 2.30 Units

Josh Beckett and Andy Pettitte face Jeremy Guthrie and Horacio Ramirez, respectively. Better pitcher playing for the better team often results in wins.

Good luck!

Results: 1 Unit Lost (200.68 Units)

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 199.63 Units

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets OVER 9 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Call this one a hunch. Pelfrey on the mound for the Mets should absolutely get rocked by one of the league's hottest teams. The question mark is Ben Sheets; will he lose me this over? My gut says no.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over Chicago Cubs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.65 Units

I'm not super confident in the Phils or Freddy Garcia, but at this price, it is well worth the gamble that the Phillies outslug the Cubs.

Houston Astros -1.5 over Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.15 Units

As Webb made mincemeat out of Houston batters on Friday, I expect Oswalt to return the favor today.

San Fransisco Giants -1.5 over Colorado Rockies
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units

Barry Zito and the hot Giants should be able to pull off a win in Colorado as Lincecum did for me on Friday.

Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over Ottawa Senators
Bet .75 Units to win 1.50 Units

Every game in this series could go either way, but with the home crowd and a little desperation on their side in game 2, I'll take the Sabres.

Good luck!

Results: 2.05 Units Won (201.68 Units)

Friday, May 11, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 199.95 Units

Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1.50 Units to win 1.30 Units

Having a lefty-heavy lineup like the Phillies do works great; until you face a dominant lefty like Rich Hill. Hamels hasn't been super sharp lately, but I think he can keep it respectable; and I don't think Rich Hill is giving up much more that 2 runs anyways.

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 over Houston Astros
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.30 Units

The Astros' bats are starting to heat up a bit, but Brandon Webb should be able to cool them down.

San Fransisco Giants over Colorado Rockies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .88 Units

Super-prospect Tim Lincecum gets the chance to go against a lineup that isn't full of big bruising lefties. I'll definitely put my money on him over Josh Fogg tonight.

San Diego Padres -1.5 over St. Louis Cardinals
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Jake Peavy has been lights out all year, and while I never trust the Padres bats to get him support, he's still worth dropping a unit on in just about every game he pitches.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Toronto Blue Jays MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.17 Units

The Blue Jays have lost 9 straight and are clearly struggling. I don't think Scott Kazmir is the right guy to break a slump against. Toronto's bad luck continues in this one.

Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Detroit Tigers
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Johan Santana VS. Mike Maroth... Santana hasn't been lights out this year per usual, but I think he can muster up a win out of this matchup.

Good luck!

Results: 0.32 Units Lost (199.63 Units)

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 196 Units

Phoenix Suns +4.0 over San Antonio Spurs
Bet .70 Units to win .64 Units
(THIS GAME WASN'T PLAYED TODAY, I MISREAD SCHEDULE)

Why .70? Well, I'm 0 - 3 with basketball picks and have lost 1.30 units on it... why not make it an even 2 units? Truth be told, I really think Phoenix has a good chance of winning this game, and could certainly keep it close... but what do I know about hoops?

Atlanta Braves -1.5 over San Diego Padres
Bet 2 Units to win 2 Units

Tim Hudson is back to ace form, and David Wells is... well.. fat. The Padres are a very easy lineup to mow through; Hudson's 8 innings of one earned ball should be more than enough for the Braves to get a few runs off of Wells and cover.

San Fransisco Giants over Colorado Rockies MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.03 Units

I like Noah Lowry, and besides that, the Giants have been swinging some hot bats. Aaron Cook isn't bad, but at moneyline, I think the Giants are definitely the play here.

Detroit Tigers -1.5 over Seattle Mariners
Bet 4 Units to win 3.08 Units

One of those plays that you almost know you are going to lose on principal alone, but you absolutely have to bet heavy. Jeff Weaver; with all of his 0 - 5 record and 15.35 ERA; going against Justin Verlander, who's got a much more respectable 2 - 1 record and a 2.75 ERA. I respect the Mariners this season, but come on... this one's just too good to be true.

Buffalo Sabres over Ottawa Senators MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win .71 Units

Should be a great series and should go 7 games, but I'll try and break out of my hockey slump by picking the home team and the favorite; moneyline for a change instead of begging for that elusive 2 goal victory.

Ottawa Senators @ Buffalo Sabres OVER 5.5 goals
Bet 1 Unit to win .87 Units

These playoffs have been all about defense... but put two offensive minded teams together and watch the fireworks fly. There should be scoring chances galore, and the final score should definitely be in the 4 - 3 range.

Good luck!

Results: 3.95 Units Won (199.95 Units)

Wednesday, May 9, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 191.08 Units

New York Mets -1.5 over San Fransisco Giants
Bet 2 Units to win 2.20 Units

The Mets have won every game they have played in which John Maine has pitched. Why stop now? The Giants already stole a game this series; lightning shouldn't strike twice.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays over Baltimore Orioles MONEYLINE
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.20 Units

James Shields is having a great season, and the Orioles put up 8 on Tuesday, so I expect their bats to go quiet.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 2 Units to win 1.90 Units

Mike Mussina can pitch, and the Yankees can hit. Hard. So why not continue to make money on it?

Boston Red Sox -1.5 over Toronto Blue Jays
Bet 2 Units to win 1.82 Units

Daisuke Matsuzaka against Tomo Okha... doesn't exactly strike me as a pitcher's duel so much as a one-sided shalacking.

Good luck!

Results: 4.92 Units Won (196 Units)

Tuesday, May 8, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 190.28 Units

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 over Florida Marlins
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.30 Units

Mark Hendrickson has somehow been fantastic this year for the Dodgers, and Wes Obermueller is a very beatable opponent. Gotta ride Mark out as long as he's pitching well.

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 9.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units

Taylor Buchholz faces Brad Thompson in this one... whats NOT to love about the over?

New York Mets @ San Fransisco Giants UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win .90 Units

So both of these teams can slug, but at the same time, both of these pitchers can pitch. After yesterday's offensive show, I say this game cools down and stays at 8 or under.

New York Yankees -1.5 over Texas Rangers
Bet 1 Unit to win .90 Units

Andy Pettitte and the Yankees offense VS. Mike Wood? I'll take my chances.

Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 runs
Bet 1 Unit to win 1 Unit

Jorge De La Rosa and Chad Gaudin may be no names to the untrained eye, but they are both solid young pitchers off to solid starts this season. Neither offense blows you away, either, and this should definitely be an under - if the Royals' bullpen doesn't blow it in the later stages.

Good luck!

Results: .80 Units Won (191.08 Units)

Sunday, May 6, 2007

Picks of the Day

Total: 190.43 Units

Houston Astros over Cincinnati Reds MONEYLINE
Bet 2 Units to win 1.48 Units

18 - 1 against the Reds, and I can still get Oswalt at -135 straight up, huh? I'll take it. I'd put more on it, but since I'm down at the moment, I shouldn't.

Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 over Washington Nationals
Bet 1 Unit to win .87 Units

The Brewers really are the real deal... and I'll keep making money on them as long as they let me. Even when I went 1 for 8 the other day, guess who the 1 was? Capuano over Chico should be no sweat.

New York Mets over San Fransisco Giants MONEYLINE
Bet 1.05 Units to win 1 Unit

I'll be rooting against this one since I have Barry Zito on my fantasy team, but the fact of the matter is that the Mets have one of the best offenses in the NL, and the Giants... well, don't. Oliver Perez has pitched well enough this season to make this a great bargain at only -105.

Good luck!

(Wings beat Sharks, and I re-checked all of my bets this month to make the total units accurate)
Results: 1.30 Units Won (190.28 Units)